Today's technology signals have exploded three powder kegs: AI valuation carnival, the rise of the black market in computing power, and the spiritual crisis of developers. Don't make any false claims, just pierce through the window.
Let's start with how crazy this AI bubble is. Anthropic is valued at $900 billion? It's more expensive than the entire Nvidia! DeepSeek said that "VC money is a burden" while raising 50 billion yuan to divide the scene carefully. The core contradiction lies in computing power-Kiliu Technology's prospectus tears off the fig leaf: China's top ten computing power cluster suppliers only consume 37% of the market, and the rest are bulk mines and state-owned data centers. This explains DeepSeek's insistence: it doesn't want VC money because the computing power channel is blocked by state-owned assets, and you can't buy a card even if you take money; the financing of 50 billion yuan is to bind infrastructure companies to create a private computing power pool. But the stakes are too big: Anthropic's $50 billion financing means that annual revenue will have to reach hundreds of billions to support the valuation, but now the total global GPU production capacity is not enough to feed it alone.
Even worse is on the Developer Channel. The V2EX hot posts are all "retirement anxiety" and "salary increase shame", which is a hellish contrast with the "Claude Coding Skills Project" that has been wildly circulated on GitHub. It's not that programmers don't work hard-look at the Karpathy-skills library (forrestchang/andrej-Karpathy-skills) that won 2k stars in two days, but can ordinary developers afford it? The Claude Opus call cost enough to hire three junior programmers. The giants are playing an arms race, and the code farmers are calculating whether the hourly salary is enough for milk tea. Product Hunt's new products are all "AI Agent Toolbox". Even scheduled tasks require a ClawTick AI shell, which is essentially accelerating the elimination of middle and low-end developers.
The most dangerous signal comes from Anthropic's "AI Dual-Track Thinking" research. On the surface, it is said that the model has a hidden intention layer, but in fact it is handing a knife to supervision: in the future, AI can directly blame it for evil and "unconscious uncontrolled." With the popular Qwen image editing tool (with NSFW LoRA default integration) on the HF Trend List, ethical collapse is a foregone conclusion. When OpenAI's WebRTC vulnerability can accurately identify non-certified Android machines (Hacker News hot post), the Internet may be divided into two parallel universes in the future: compliant AI serves the father of the donor, and wild AI provides "real services" on the black market.
Cold conclusion: 2026 is the year of the Yalta Conference for AI. Giants use valuation to enclose land (Anthropic), computing power to build walls (basic flow), and ethical legislation (Anthropic Research), while ordinary developers either become a function of the "AI skill package"(see addyosmani/agent-skills) or complain about pensions in V2EX. Join the game now? Unless you can get the three major operators to grab the A100 in stock, or hold a magic square money printing machine like Liang Wenfeng did-look at the teacher establishment. At least pensions are rising more slowly than GPUs.